TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Hillsboro | Windsor (Imperial) |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| PF / GAME | 34.0 | 27.3 |
| PA / GAME | 18.1 | 37.1 |
| AVG MARGIN | +19.4 | -16.4 |
| SOS | +1.7 | +2.4 |
| POWER | +20.0 | -15.6 |
HILLSBORO WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Hillsboro finished the job, as Hillsboro and Windsor (Imperial) finished 41-0. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 40-19 final.
The actual margin was 41 points versus MOFO's 21.0-point projection. That produced a 20.0-point margin error, with score errors of 1.3 for Hillsboro and 18.6 for Windsor (Imperial).
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD HILLSBORO
MOFO leans toward Hillsboro because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 35.6-point power-rating advantage and projects a 21.0-point margin, with Hillsboro carrying a 94% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Hillsboro enters at 34.0 points per game compared with 27.3 for Windsor (Imperial). Hillsboro also allows 19.0 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +1.7 for Hillsboro and +2.4 for Windsor (Imperial). Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains high.
01Hillsboro owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Windsor (Imperial) has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 35.6-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.