TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | University Academy Charter with Ewing Marion Kauffman | Summit Christian Academy |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| PF / GAME | 22.9 | 27.6 |
| PA / GAME | 28.1 | 21.9 |
| AVG MARGIN | -10.7 | +5.7 |
| SOS | -0.5 | -1.0 |
| POWER | -10.9 | +5.3 |
SUMMIT CHRISTIAN ACADEMY WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Summit Christian Academy finished the job, as University Academy Charter with Ewing Marion Kauffman and Summit Christian Academy finished 30-57. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 21-30 final.
The actual margin was 27 points versus MOFO's 9.2-point projection. That produced a 17.8-point margin error, with score errors of 9.5 for University Academy Charter with Ewing Marion Kauffman and 27.3 for Summit Christian Academy.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD SUMMIT CHRISTIAN ACADEMY
MOFO leans toward Summit Christian Academy because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 16.2-point power-rating advantage and projects a 9.2-point margin, with Summit Christian Academy carrying a 77% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Summit Christian Academy enters at 27.6 points per game compared with 22.9 for University Academy Charter with Ewing Marion Kauffman. Summit Christian Academy also allows 6.2 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -1.0 for Summit Christian Academy and -0.5 for University Academy Charter with Ewing Marion Kauffman. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains high.
01Summit Christian Academy owns the stronger scoring profile.
02University Academy Charter with Ewing Marion Kauffman has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 16.2-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.