TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | East (Kansas City) | Southeast |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-4 | 0-4 |
| PF / GAME | 13.8 | 11.2 |
| PA / GAME | 40.5 | 42.5 |
| AVG MARGIN | -30.2 | -29.9 |
| SOS | -5.2 | +7.1 |
| POWER | -32.0 | -27.5 |
EAST (KANSAS CITY) WRITES THE FINAL WORD
East (Kansas City) finished the job, as East (Kansas City) and Southeast finished 38-14. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 27-27 final.
The actual margin was 24 points versus MOFO's 0.9-point projection. That produced a 23.1-point margin error, with score errors of 10.6 for East (Kansas City) and 12.6 for Southeast.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD EAST (KANSAS CITY)
MOFO leans toward East (Kansas City) because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 4.6-point power-rating advantage and projects a 0.9-point margin, with East (Kansas City) carrying a 53% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: East (Kansas City) enters at 13.8 points per game compared with 11.2 for Southeast. East (Kansas City) also allows 2.0 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -5.2 for East (Kansas City) and +7.1 for Southeast. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01East (Kansas City) owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Southeast has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 4.6-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.