TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | West Nodaway | South Nodaway |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| PF / GAME | 49.3 | 35.9 |
| PA / GAME | 22.4 | 42.0 |
| AVG MARGIN | +30.6 | -8.1 |
| SOS | -15.8 | -2.2 |
| POWER | +25.1 | -8.8 |
WEST NODAWAY WRITES THE FINAL WORD
West Nodaway finished the job, as West Nodaway and South Nodaway finished 50-22. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 49-26 final.
The actual margin was 28 points versus MOFO's 23.7-point projection. That produced a 4.3-point margin error, with score errors of 0.7 for West Nodaway and 3.5 for South Nodaway.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD WEST NODAWAY
MOFO leans toward West Nodaway because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 33.9-point power-rating advantage and projects a 23.7-point margin, with West Nodaway carrying a 95% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: West Nodaway enters at 49.3 points per game compared with 35.9 for South Nodaway. West Nodaway also allows 19.6 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -15.8 for West Nodaway and -2.2 for South Nodaway. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains high.
01West Nodaway owns the stronger scoring profile.
02South Nodaway has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 33.9-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.