TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Brookfield | South Harrison |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| PF / GAME | 35.0 | 17.9 |
| PA / GAME | 17.3 | 25.7 |
| AVG MARGIN | +24.5 | -7.4 |
| SOS | -4.4 | -2.1 |
| POWER | +23.0 | -8.1 |
BROOKFIELD WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Brookfield finished the job, as Brookfield and South Harrison finished 48-20. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 34-14 final.
The actual margin was 28 points versus MOFO's 19.4-point projection. That produced a 8.6-point margin error, with score errors of 14.3 for Brookfield and 5.7 for South Harrison.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD BROOKFIELD
MOFO leans toward Brookfield because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 31.1-point power-rating advantage and projects a 19.4-point margin, with Brookfield carrying a 93% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Brookfield enters at 35.0 points per game compared with 17.9 for South Harrison. Brookfield also allows 8.4 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -4.4 for Brookfield and -2.1 for South Harrison. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains high.
01Brookfield owns the stronger scoring profile.
02South Harrison has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 31.1-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.