TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Hardin-Central | Slater |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| PF / GAME | 48.4 | 31.3 |
| PA / GAME | 27.4 | 38.0 |
| AVG MARGIN | +29.9 | -8.9 |
| SOS | -6.1 | +4.0 |
| POWER | +27.7 | -7.5 |
HARDIN-CENTRAL WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Hardin-Central finished the job, as Hardin-Central and Slater finished 56-14. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 47-26 final.
The actual margin was 42 points versus MOFO's 21.4-point projection. That produced a 20.6-point margin error, with score errors of 9.0 for Hardin-Central and 11.6 for Slater.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD HARDIN-CENTRAL
MOFO leans toward Hardin-Central because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 35.2-point power-rating advantage and projects a 21.4-point margin, with Hardin-Central carrying a 95% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Hardin-Central enters at 48.4 points per game compared with 31.3 for Slater. Hardin-Central also allows 10.6 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -6.1 for Hardin-Central and +4.0 for Slater. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains high.
01Hardin-Central owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Slater has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 35.2-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.