TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Hazelwood Central | Seckman |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| PF / GAME | 11.0 | 29.4 |
| PA / GAME | 30.9 | 24.7 |
| AVG MARGIN | -20.6 | +3.7 |
| SOS | +1.2 | +6.1 |
| POWER | -20.2 | +5.8 |
SECKMAN WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Seckman finished the job, as Hazelwood Central and Seckman finished 0-28. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 15-33 final.
The actual margin was 28 points versus MOFO's 17.7-point projection. That produced a 10.3-point margin error, with score errors of 15.2 for Hazelwood Central and 4.8 for Seckman.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD SECKMAN
MOFO leans toward Seckman because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 26.0-point power-rating advantage and projects a 17.7-point margin, with Seckman carrying a 91% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Seckman enters at 29.4 points per game compared with 11.0 for Hazelwood Central. Seckman also allows 6.2 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +6.1 for Seckman and +1.2 for Hazelwood Central. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains high.
01Seckman owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Seckman has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 26.0-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.