TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Malden | Scott City with Chaffee |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| PF / GAME | 18.1 | 21.0 |
| PA / GAME | 36.1 | 35.7 |
| AVG MARGIN | -20.6 | -19.5 |
| SOS | -0.7 | +3.8 |
| POWER | -20.9 | -18.2 |
SCOTT CITY WITH CHAFFEE WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Scott City with Chaffee finished the job, as Malden and Scott City with Chaffee finished 8-43. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 26-29 final.
The actual margin was 35 points versus MOFO's 3.1-point projection. That produced a 31.9-point margin error, with score errors of 18.2 for Malden and 13.7 for Scott City with Chaffee.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD SCOTT CITY WITH CHAFFEE
MOFO leans toward Scott City with Chaffee because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 2.6-point power-rating advantage and projects a 3.1-point margin, with Scott City with Chaffee carrying a 60% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Scott City with Chaffee enters at 21.0 points per game compared with 18.1 for Malden. Scott City with Chaffee also allows 0.4 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +3.8 for Scott City with Chaffee and -0.7 for Malden. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains medium.
01Scott City with Chaffee owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Scott City with Chaffee has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 2.6-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.