TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Camdenton | Rock Bridge |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| PF / GAME | 38.1 | 30.3 |
| PA / GAME | 24.4 | 25.4 |
| AVG MARGIN | +17.5 | +7.4 |
| SOS | -6.7 | -2.6 |
| POWER | +15.1 | +6.5 |
ROCK BRIDGE WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Rock Bridge finished the job, as Camdenton and Rock Bridge finished 14-24. MOFO's pick of Camdenton missed; the model had projected a 33-27 final.
The actual margin was 10 points versus MOFO's 6.1-point projection. That produced a 16.1-point margin error, with score errors of 18.6 for Camdenton and 2.5 for Rock Bridge.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD CAMDENTON
MOFO leans toward Camdenton because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 8.6-point power-rating advantage and projects a 6.1-point margin, with Camdenton carrying a 69% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Camdenton enters at 38.1 points per game compared with 30.3 for Rock Bridge. Camdenton also allows 1.0 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -6.7 for Camdenton and -2.6 for Rock Bridge. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains medium.
01Camdenton owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Rock Bridge has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 8.6-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.