TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Valle Catholic | Potosi |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| PF / GAME | 46.1 | 27.0 |
| PA / GAME | 13.9 | 25.0 |
| AVG MARGIN | +35.0 | +0.2 |
| SOS | +3.4 | -0.1 |
| POWER | +36.2 | +0.2 |
VALLE CATHOLIC WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Valle Catholic finished the job, as Valle Catholic and Potosi finished 62-6. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 40-16 final.
The actual margin was 56 points versus MOFO's 23.6-point projection. That produced a 32.4-point margin error, with score errors of 22.2 for Valle Catholic and 10.2 for Potosi.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD VALLE CATHOLIC
MOFO leans toward Valle Catholic because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 36.0-point power-rating advantage and projects a 23.6-point margin, with Valle Catholic carrying a 95% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Valle Catholic enters at 46.1 points per game compared with 27.0 for Potosi. Valle Catholic also allows 11.1 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +3.4 for Valle Catholic and -0.1 for Potosi. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains high.
01Valle Catholic owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Valle Catholic has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 36.0-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.