NORTHWEST (CEDAR HILL) WRITES THE FINAL WORD

Northwest (Cedar Hill) finished the job, as Northwest (Cedar Hill) and Parkway South finished 41-13. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 30-21 final.

The actual margin was 28 points versus MOFO's 9.0-point projection. That produced a 19.0-point margin error, with score errors of 11.1 for Northwest (Cedar Hill) and 8.0 for Parkway South.

THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD NORTHWEST (CEDAR HILL)

MOFO leans toward Northwest (Cedar Hill) because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 16.6-point power-rating advantage and projects a 9.0-point margin, with Northwest (Cedar Hill) carrying a 77% win probability.

Parkway South actually owns the stronger raw scoring average, so this pick is driven more by opponent adjustment and the complete power profile than offense alone. Northwest (Cedar Hill) also allows 12.1 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.

Strength of schedule checks in at -4.7 for Northwest (Cedar Hill) and -2.3 for Parkway South. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains medium.