TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Ft. Zumwalt North | North Point |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| PF / GAME | 26.1 | 32.1 |
| PA / GAME | 27.1 | 41.3 |
| AVG MARGIN | +1.6 | -11.7 |
| SOS | +3.0 | -2.9 |
| POWER | +2.7 | -12.8 |
FT. ZUMWALT NORTH WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Ft. Zumwalt North finished the job, as Ft. Zumwalt North and North Point finished 44-0. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 36-28 final.
The actual margin was 44 points versus MOFO's 8.0-point projection. That produced a 36.0-point margin error, with score errors of 8.3 for Ft. Zumwalt North and 27.7 for North Point.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD FT. ZUMWALT NORTH
MOFO leans toward Ft. Zumwalt North because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 15.4-point power-rating advantage and projects a 8.0-point margin, with Ft. Zumwalt North carrying a 74% win probability.
North Point actually owns the stronger raw scoring average, so this pick is driven more by opponent adjustment and the complete power profile than offense alone. Ft. Zumwalt North also allows 14.2 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +3.0 for Ft. Zumwalt North and -2.9 for North Point. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains high.
01North Point owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Ft. Zumwalt North has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 15.4-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.