TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Trenton | Milan |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-4 | 0-4 |
| PF / GAME | 17.0 | 13.2 |
| PA / GAME | 29.0 | 36.8 |
| AVG MARGIN | -15.4 | -31.5 |
| SOS | -2.0 | +2.0 |
| POWER | -16.1 | -30.8 |
TRENTON WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Trenton finished the job, as Trenton and Milan finished 23-0. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 28-20 final.
The actual margin was 23 points versus MOFO's 8.9-point projection. That produced a 14.1-point margin error, with score errors of 5.5 for Trenton and 19.6 for Milan.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD TRENTON
MOFO leans toward Trenton because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 14.8-point power-rating advantage and projects a 8.9-point margin, with Trenton carrying a 77% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Trenton enters at 17.0 points per game compared with 13.2 for Milan. Trenton also allows 7.8 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -2.0 for Trenton and +2.0 for Milan. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains medium.
01Trenton owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Milan has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 14.8-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.