TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Putnam County | Maysville |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| PF / GAME | 23.1 | 19.9 |
| PA / GAME | 22.4 | 25.7 |
| AVG MARGIN | +5.2 | -7.2 |
| SOS | +5.1 | -0.1 |
| POWER | +7.0 | -7.3 |
PUTNAM COUNTY WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Putnam County finished the job, as Putnam County and Maysville finished 27-13. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 26-19 final.
The actual margin was 14 points versus MOFO's 6.8-point projection. That produced a 7.2-point margin error, with score errors of 0.8 for Putnam County and 6.4 for Maysville.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD PUTNAM COUNTY
MOFO leans toward Putnam County because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 14.3-point power-rating advantage and projects a 6.8-point margin, with Putnam County carrying a 71% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Putnam County enters at 23.1 points per game compared with 19.9 for Maysville. Putnam County also allows 3.3 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +5.1 for Putnam County and -0.1 for Maysville. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains medium.
01Putnam County owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Putnam County has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 14.3-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.