TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Fayette | Linn |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| PF / GAME | 18.1 | 14.4 |
| PA / GAME | 33.9 | 28.9 |
| AVG MARGIN | -19.5 | -19.2 |
| SOS | +13.2 | -13.7 |
| POWER | -14.9 | -24.0 |
FAYETTE WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Fayette finished the job, as Fayette and Linn finished 30-0. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 25-23 final.
The actual margin was 30 points versus MOFO's 2.1-point projection. That produced a 27.9-point margin error, with score errors of 5.1 for Fayette and 22.8 for Linn.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD FAYETTE
MOFO leans toward Fayette because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 9.1-point power-rating advantage and projects a 2.1-point margin, with Fayette carrying a 57% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Fayette enters at 18.1 points per game compared with 14.4 for Linn. Linn's defensive numbers are competitive, which is the best statistical path to keeping the game tighter than projected.
Strength of schedule checks in at +13.2 for Fayette and -13.7 for Linn. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01Fayette owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Fayette has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 9.1-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.