TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Keytesville | Lincoln |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| PF / GAME | 20.4 | 17.9 |
| PA / GAME | 42.6 | 42.0 |
| AVG MARGIN | -27.4 | -27.8 |
| SOS | -1.6 | +10.5 |
| POWER | -27.9 | -24.2 |
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD KEYTESVILLE
MOFO leans toward Keytesville because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 3.8-point power-rating advantage and projects a 0.1-point margin, with Keytesville carrying a 50% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Keytesville enters at 20.4 points per game compared with 17.9 for Lincoln. Lincoln's defensive numbers are competitive, which is the best statistical path to keeping the game tighter than projected.
Strength of schedule checks in at -1.6 for Keytesville and +10.5 for Lincoln. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01Keytesville owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Lincoln has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 3.8-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.