TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Midway | Liberal |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| PF / GAME | 44.6 | 30.7 |
| PA / GAME | 23.9 | 34.7 |
| AVG MARGIN | +19.1 | -5.6 |
| SOS | -6.2 | -10.4 |
| POWER | +17.0 | -9.2 |
MIDWAY WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Midway finished the job, as Midway and Liberal finished 67-34. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 43-24 final.
The actual margin was 33 points versus MOFO's 18.1-point projection. That produced a 14.9-point margin error, with score errors of 24.5 for Midway and 9.6 for Liberal.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD MIDWAY
MOFO leans toward Midway because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 26.2-point power-rating advantage and projects a 18.1-point margin, with Midway carrying a 92% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Midway enters at 44.6 points per game compared with 30.7 for Liberal. Midway also allows 10.8 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -6.2 for Midway and -10.4 for Liberal. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains high.
01Midway owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Midway has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 26.2-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.