TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Central (St. Joseph) | Lee's Summit North |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| PF / GAME | 26.0 | 30.0 |
| PA / GAME | 28.4 | 17.6 |
| AVG MARGIN | -4.2 | +17.2 |
| SOS | -8.0 | +0.2 |
| POWER | -7.0 | +17.3 |
LEE'S SUMMIT NORTH WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Lee's Summit North finished the job, as Central (St. Joseph) and Lee's Summit North finished 7-58. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 19-32 final.
The actual margin was 51 points versus MOFO's 13.5-point projection. That produced a 37.5-point margin error, with score errors of 11.7 for Central (St. Joseph) and 25.7 for Lee's Summit North.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD LEE'S SUMMIT NORTH
MOFO leans toward Lee's Summit North because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 24.3-point power-rating advantage and projects a 13.5-point margin, with Lee's Summit North carrying a 86% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Lee's Summit North enters at 30.0 points per game compared with 26.0 for Central (St. Joseph). Lee's Summit North also allows 10.8 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +0.2 for Lee's Summit North and -8.0 for Central (St. Joseph). Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains high.
01Lee's Summit North owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Lee's Summit North has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 24.3-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.