TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Poplar Bluff | Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| PF / GAME | 21.9 | 40.3 |
| PA / GAME | 34.0 | 11.7 |
| AVG MARGIN | -13.1 | +34.8 |
| SOS | -0.3 | -4.0 |
| POWER | -13.2 | +33.4 |
JACKSON WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Jackson finished the job, as Poplar Bluff and Jackson finished 6-62. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 12-42 final.
The actual margin was 56 points versus MOFO's 30.3-point projection. That produced a 25.7-point margin error, with score errors of 5.8 for Poplar Bluff and 19.9 for Jackson.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD JACKSON
MOFO leans toward Jackson because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 46.6-point power-rating advantage and projects a 30.3-point margin, with Jackson carrying a 95% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Jackson enters at 40.3 points per game compared with 21.9 for Poplar Bluff. Jackson also allows 22.3 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -4.0 for Jackson and -0.3 for Poplar Bluff. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains high.
01Jackson owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Poplar Bluff has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 46.6-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.