TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Palmyra | Highland |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| PF / GAME | 41.0 | 15.3 |
| PA / GAME | 28.1 | 42.7 |
| AVG MARGIN | +14.1 | -32.0 |
| SOS | +4.2 | +6.6 |
| POWER | +15.6 | -29.6 |
PALMYRA WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Palmyra finished the job, as Palmyra and Highland finished 56-0. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 47-17 final.
The actual margin was 56 points versus MOFO's 30.1-point projection. That produced a 25.9-point margin error, with score errors of 9.2 for Palmyra and 16.7 for Highland.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD PALMYRA
MOFO leans toward Palmyra because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 45.2-point power-rating advantage and projects a 30.1-point margin, with Palmyra carrying a 95% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Palmyra enters at 41.0 points per game compared with 15.3 for Highland. Palmyra also allows 14.6 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +4.2 for Palmyra and +6.6 for Highland. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains high.
01Palmyra owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Highland has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 45.2-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.