TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Jefferson City | Hickman |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| PF / GAME | 30.1 | 32.4 |
| PA / GAME | 34.9 | 18.1 |
| AVG MARGIN | -6.3 | +18.8 |
| SOS | -3.0 | -9.0 |
| POWER | -7.4 | +15.7 |
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD HICKMAN
MOFO leans toward Hickman because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 23.1-point power-rating advantage and projects a 14.8-point margin, with Hickman carrying a 88% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Hickman enters at 32.4 points per game compared with 30.1 for Jefferson City. Hickman also allows 16.8 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -9.0 for Hickman and -3.0 for Jefferson City. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains high.
01Hickman owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Jefferson City has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 23.1-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.