TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Ladue Horton Watkins | Hazelwood West |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| PF / GAME | 38.4 | 24.0 |
| PA / GAME | 19.1 | 31.0 |
| AVG MARGIN | +24.7 | -9.3 |
| SOS | +1.3 | -3.5 |
| POWER | +25.2 | -10.5 |
LADUE HORTON WATKINS WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Ladue Horton Watkins finished the job, as Ladue Horton Watkins and Hazelwood West finished 59-13. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 39-18 final.
The actual margin was 46 points versus MOFO's 21.2-point projection. That produced a 24.8-point margin error, with score errors of 20.2 for Ladue Horton Watkins and 4.5 for Hazelwood West.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD LADUE HORTON WATKINS
MOFO leans toward Ladue Horton Watkins because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 35.7-point power-rating advantage and projects a 21.2-point margin, with Ladue Horton Watkins carrying a 94% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Ladue Horton Watkins enters at 38.4 points per game compared with 24.0 for Hazelwood West. Ladue Horton Watkins also allows 11.9 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +1.3 for Ladue Horton Watkins and -3.5 for Hazelwood West. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains high.
01Ladue Horton Watkins owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Ladue Horton Watkins has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 35.7-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.