TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Parkway North | Hazelwood East |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| PF / GAME | 25.9 | 15.3 |
| PA / GAME | 25.0 | 30.7 |
| AVG MARGIN | -0.8 | -22.1 |
| SOS | +3.3 | +11.5 |
| POWER | +0.4 | -18.1 |
PARKWAY NORTH WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Parkway North finished the job, as Parkway North and Hazelwood East finished 20-0. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 30-18 final.
The actual margin was 20 points versus MOFO's 11.7-point projection. That produced a 8.3-point margin error, with score errors of 10.1 for Parkway North and 18.4 for Hazelwood East.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD PARKWAY NORTH
MOFO leans toward Parkway North because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 18.4-point power-rating advantage and projects a 11.7-point margin, with Parkway North carrying a 83% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Parkway North enters at 25.9 points per game compared with 15.3 for Hazelwood East. Parkway North also allows 5.7 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +3.3 for Parkway North and +11.5 for Hazelwood East. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains high.
01Parkway North owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Hazelwood East has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 18.4-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.