LOUISBURG (KAN.) WRITES THE FINAL WORD

Louisburg (Kan.) finished the job, as Louisburg (Kan.) and Harrisonville finished 42-14. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 30-28 final.

The actual margin was 28 points versus MOFO's 2.3-point projection. That produced a 25.7-point margin error, with score errors of 12.1 for Louisburg (Kan.) and 13.6 for Harrisonville.

THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD LOUISBURG (KAN.)

MOFO leans toward Louisburg (Kan.) because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 2.2-point power-rating advantage and projects a 2.3-point margin, with Louisburg (Kan.) carrying a 58% win probability.

Harrisonville actually owns the stronger raw scoring average, so this pick is driven more by opponent adjustment and the complete power profile than offense alone. Louisburg (Kan.) also allows 4.8 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.

Strength of schedule checks in at +0.0 for Louisburg (Kan.) and +9.6 for Harrisonville. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low — no season data.