TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Truman | Fort Osage |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| PF / GAME | 11.4 | 29.9 |
| PA / GAME | 45.3 | 22.0 |
| AVG MARGIN | -35.0 | +12.3 |
| SOS | -3.5 | -2.3 |
| POWER | -36.2 | +11.5 |
FORT OSAGE WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Fort Osage finished the job, as Truman and Fort Osage finished 0-62. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 11-43 final.
The actual margin was 62 points versus MOFO's 31.8-point projection. That produced a 30.2-point margin error, with score errors of 11.3 for Truman and 19.0 for Fort Osage.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD FORT OSAGE
MOFO leans toward Fort Osage because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 47.8-point power-rating advantage and projects a 31.8-point margin, with Fort Osage carrying a 95% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Fort Osage enters at 29.9 points per game compared with 11.4 for Truman. Fort Osage also allows 23.3 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -2.3 for Fort Osage and -3.5 for Truman. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains high.
01Fort Osage owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Fort Osage has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 47.8-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.