TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Sikeston | Farmington |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| PF / GAME | 27.3 | 35.4 |
| PA / GAME | 19.0 | 15.3 |
| AVG MARGIN | +7.7 | +19.1 |
| SOS | +2.1 | +5.9 |
| POWER | +8.4 | +21.2 |
FARMINGTON WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Farmington finished the job, as Sikeston and Farmington finished 2-48. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 20-29 final.
The actual margin was 46 points versus MOFO's 8.7-point projection. That produced a 37.3-point margin error, with score errors of 17.9 for Sikeston and 19.4 for Farmington.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD FARMINGTON
MOFO leans toward Farmington because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 12.8-point power-rating advantage and projects a 8.7-point margin, with Farmington carrying a 76% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Farmington enters at 35.4 points per game compared with 27.3 for Sikeston. Farmington also allows 3.7 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +5.9 for Farmington and +2.1 for Sikeston. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains high.
01Farmington owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Farmington has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 12.8-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.