TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Hallsville | Eldon |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| PF / GAME | 32.7 | 14.7 |
| PA / GAME | 24.0 | 35.6 |
| AVG MARGIN | +15.0 | -27.0 |
| SOS | +4.2 | -8.0 |
| POWER | +16.4 | -29.8 |
HALLSVILLE WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Hallsville finished the job, as Hallsville and Eldon finished 49-7. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 40-14 final.
The actual margin was 42 points versus MOFO's 26.1-point projection. That produced a 15.9-point margin error, with score errors of 9.2 for Hallsville and 6.7 for Eldon.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD HALLSVILLE
MOFO leans toward Hallsville because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 46.2-point power-rating advantage and projects a 26.1-point margin, with Hallsville carrying a 95% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Hallsville enters at 32.7 points per game compared with 14.7 for Eldon. Hallsville also allows 11.6 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +4.2 for Hallsville and -8.0 for Eldon. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains high.
01Hallsville owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Hallsville has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 46.2-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.