TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Kennett | Doniphan |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| PF / GAME | 32.9 | 17.6 |
| PA / GAME | 22.1 | 28.1 |
| AVG MARGIN | +16.8 | -12.7 |
| SOS | +1.8 | -14.5 |
| POWER | +17.4 | -17.8 |
KENNETT WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Kennett finished the job, as Kennett and Doniphan finished 44-6. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 35-15 final.
The actual margin was 38 points versus MOFO's 19.7-point projection. That produced a 18.3-point margin error, with score errors of 9.0 for Kennett and 9.3 for Doniphan.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD KENNETT
MOFO leans toward Kennett because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 35.2-point power-rating advantage and projects a 19.7-point margin, with Kennett carrying a 93% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Kennett enters at 32.9 points per game compared with 17.6 for Doniphan. Kennett also allows 6.0 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +1.8 for Kennett and -14.5 for Doniphan. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains high.
01Kennett owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Kennett has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 35.2-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.