TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Salisbury | Crystal City |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| PF / GAME | 48.0 | 22.7 |
| PA / GAME | 17.1 | 31.4 |
| AVG MARGIN | +31.5 | -9.8 |
| SOS | -17.5 | -8.2 |
| POWER | +25.4 | -12.7 |
SALISBURY WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Salisbury finished the job, as Salisbury and Crystal City finished 66-0. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 44-16 final.
The actual margin was 66 points versus MOFO's 27.7-point projection. That produced a 38.3-point margin error, with score errors of 22.3 for Salisbury and 16.0 for Crystal City.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD SALISBURY
MOFO leans toward Salisbury because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 38.1-point power-rating advantage and projects a 27.7-point margin, with Salisbury carrying a 95% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Salisbury enters at 48.0 points per game compared with 22.7 for Crystal City. Salisbury also allows 14.3 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -17.5 for Salisbury and -8.2 for Crystal City. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains high.
01Salisbury owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Crystal City has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 38.1-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.