TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Hollister | Clever |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| PF / GAME | 16.3 | 28.6 |
| PA / GAME | 43.6 | 19.7 |
| AVG MARGIN | -31.7 | +12.3 |
| SOS | +8.7 | +2.4 |
| POWER | -28.7 | +13.2 |
CLEVER WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Clever finished the job, as Hollister and Clever finished 0-41. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 13-41 final.
The actual margin was 41 points versus MOFO's 27.2-point projection. That produced a 13.8-point margin error, with score errors of 13.5 for Hollister and 0.4 for Clever.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD CLEVER
MOFO leans toward Clever because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 41.9-point power-rating advantage and projects a 27.2-point margin, with Clever carrying a 95% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Clever enters at 28.6 points per game compared with 16.3 for Hollister. Clever also allows 23.9 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +2.4 for Clever and +8.7 for Hollister. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains high.
01Clever owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Hollister has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 41.9-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.