TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Macon | Clark County |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| PF / GAME | 27.7 | 22.0 |
| PA / GAME | 22.9 | 33.4 |
| AVG MARGIN | +6.6 | -14.5 |
| SOS | +15.0 | +4.0 |
| POWER | +11.9 | -13.1 |
MACON WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Macon finished the job, as Macon and Clark County finished 63-7. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 34-19 final.
The actual margin was 56 points versus MOFO's 14.5-point projection. That produced a 41.5-point margin error, with score errors of 29.3 for Macon and 12.3 for Clark County.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD MACON
MOFO leans toward Macon because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 24.9-point power-rating advantage and projects a 14.5-point margin, with Macon carrying a 87% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Macon enters at 27.7 points per game compared with 22.0 for Clark County. Macon also allows 10.5 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +15.0 for Macon and +4.0 for Clark County. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains high.
01Macon owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Macon has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 24.9-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.