TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Gateway with Soldan International Studies | Central (Cape Girardeau) |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 3-1 | 2-3 |
| PF / GAME | 32.5 | 20.1 |
| PA / GAME | 17.3 | 24.0 |
| AVG MARGIN | +15.1 | -5.7 |
| SOS | -8.6 | +6.0 |
| POWER | +12.0 | -3.6 |
CENTRAL (CAPE GIRARDEAU) WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Central (Cape Girardeau) finished the job, as Gateway with Soldan International Studies and Central (Cape Girardeau) finished 24-54. MOFO's pick of Gateway with Soldan International Studies missed; the model had projected a 30-17 final.
The actual margin was 30 points versus MOFO's 12.6-point projection. That produced a 42.6-point margin error, with score errors of 5.8 for Gateway with Soldan International Studies and 36.8 for Central (Cape Girardeau).
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD GATEWAY WITH SOLDAN INTERNATIONAL STUDIES
MOFO leans toward Gateway with Soldan International Studies because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 15.7-point power-rating advantage and projects a 12.6-point margin, with Gateway with Soldan International Studies carrying a 84% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Gateway with Soldan International Studies enters at 32.5 points per game compared with 20.1 for Central (Cape Girardeau). Gateway with Soldan International Studies also allows 6.7 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -8.6 for Gateway with Soldan International Studies and +6.0 for Central (Cape Girardeau). Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains medium.
01Gateway with Soldan International Studies owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Central (Cape Girardeau) has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 15.7-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.