TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Odessa | Center |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| PF / GAME | 34.7 | 37.1 |
| PA / GAME | 14.9 | 22.1 |
| AVG MARGIN | +19.4 | +16.7 |
| SOS | -2.5 | -6.9 |
| POWER | +18.5 | +14.3 |
ODESSA WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Odessa finished the job, as Odessa and Center finished 32-21. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 29-26 final.
The actual margin was 11 points versus MOFO's 3.3-point projection. That produced a 7.7-point margin error, with score errors of 3.1 for Odessa and 4.6 for Center.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD ODESSA
MOFO leans toward Odessa because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 4.2-point power-rating advantage and projects a 3.3-point margin, with Odessa carrying a 61% win probability.
Center actually owns the stronger raw scoring average, so this pick is driven more by opponent adjustment and the complete power profile than offense alone. Odessa also allows 7.2 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -2.5 for Odessa and -6.9 for Center. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains medium.
01Center owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Odessa has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 4.2-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.