TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Naperville Central (IL) | Cardinal Ritter |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-0 | 1-4 |
| PF / GAME | 27.5 | 28.7 |
| PA / GAME | 27.5 | 36.4 |
| AVG MARGIN | +0.0 | -10.9 |
| SOS | +0.0 | +13.8 |
| POWER | +0.0 | -6.1 |
CARDINAL RITTER WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Cardinal Ritter finished the job, as Naperville Central (IL) and Cardinal Ritter finished 13-28. MOFO's pick of Naperville Central (IL) missed; the model had projected a 33-28 final.
The actual margin was 15 points versus MOFO's 5.0-point projection. That produced a 20.0-point margin error, with score errors of 19.5 for Naperville Central (IL) and 0.5 for Cardinal Ritter.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD NAPERVILLE CENTRAL (IL)
MOFO leans toward Naperville Central (IL) because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 6.1-point power-rating advantage and projects a 5.0-point margin, with Naperville Central (IL) carrying a 66% win probability.
Cardinal Ritter actually owns the stronger raw scoring average, so this pick is driven more by opponent adjustment and the complete power profile than offense alone. Naperville Central (IL) also allows 8.9 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +0.0 for Naperville Central (IL) and +13.8 for Cardinal Ritter. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low — no season data.
01Cardinal Ritter owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Cardinal Ritter has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 6.1-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.