TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Liberty North | Blue Springs South |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| PF / GAME | 31.6 | 28.3 |
| PA / GAME | 24.1 | 22.4 |
| AVG MARGIN | +9.1 | +9.3 |
| SOS | +1.0 | +2.7 |
| POWER | +9.4 | +10.2 |
LIBERTY NORTH WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Liberty North finished the job, as Liberty North and Blue Springs South finished 45-35. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 27-27 final.
The actual margin was 10 points versus MOFO's 0.2-point projection. That produced a 9.8-point margin error, with score errors of 18.3 for Liberty North and 8.5 for Blue Springs South.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD LIBERTY NORTH
MOFO leans toward Liberty North because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 0.8-point power-rating advantage and projects a 0.2-point margin, with Liberty North carrying a 51% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Liberty North enters at 31.6 points per game compared with 28.3 for Blue Springs South. Blue Springs South's defensive numbers are competitive, which is the best statistical path to keeping the game tighter than projected.
Strength of schedule checks in at +1.0 for Liberty North and +2.7 for Blue Springs South. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01Liberty North owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Blue Springs South has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 0.8-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.