TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | North Andrew | Albany |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| PF / GAME | 40.1 | 29.0 |
| PA / GAME | 28.7 | 34.1 |
| AVG MARGIN | +11.8 | -11.3 |
| SOS | -7.6 | +0.7 |
| POWER | +9.1 | -11.0 |
NORTH ANDREW WRITES THE FINAL WORD
North Andrew finished the job, as North Andrew and Albany finished 34-32. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 39-27 final.
The actual margin was 2 points versus MOFO's 12.8-point projection. That produced a 10.8-point margin error, with score errors of 5.4 for North Andrew and 5.4 for Albany.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD NORTH ANDREW
MOFO leans toward North Andrew because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 20.2-point power-rating advantage and projects a 12.8-point margin, with North Andrew carrying a 85% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: North Andrew enters at 40.1 points per game compared with 29.0 for Albany. North Andrew also allows 5.4 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -7.6 for North Andrew and +0.7 for Albany. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains high.
01North Andrew owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Albany has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 20.2-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.