TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Albany | Worth County |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-2 | 3-1 |
| PF / GAME | 33.9 | 38.9 |
| PA / GAME | 31.2 | 21.5 |
| AVG MARGIN | -4.5 | +20.5 |
| SOS | +0.2 | +4.8 |
| POWER | -4.4 | +22.2 |
WORTH COUNTY WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Worth County finished the job, as Albany and Worth County finished 0-52. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 24-38 final.
The actual margin was 52 points versus MOFO's 14.0-point projection. That produced a 38.0-point margin error, with score errors of 24.4 for Albany and 13.6 for Worth County.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD WORTH COUNTY
MOFO leans toward Worth County because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 26.6-point power-rating advantage and projects a 14.0-point margin, with Worth County carrying a 87% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Worth County enters at 38.9 points per game compared with 33.9 for Albany. Worth County also allows 9.7 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +4.8 for Worth County and +0.2 for Albany. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains medium.
01Worth County owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Worth County has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 26.6-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.