TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Priory | Westminster Christian Academy |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-2 | 3-1 |
| PF / GAME | 24.0 | 28.7 |
| PA / GAME | 39.0 | 17.5 |
| AVG MARGIN | -9.7 | +16.8 |
| SOS | +2.1 | -4.2 |
| POWER | -9.0 | +15.3 |
WESTMINSTER CHRISTIAN ACADEMY WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Westminster Christian Academy finished the job, as Priory and Westminster Christian Academy finished 7-45. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 18-37 final.
The actual margin was 38 points versus MOFO's 18.5-point projection. That produced a 19.5-point margin error, with score errors of 11.1 for Priory and 8.5 for Westminster Christian Academy.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD WESTMINSTER CHRISTIAN ACADEMY
MOFO leans toward Westminster Christian Academy because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 24.3-point power-rating advantage and projects a 18.5-point margin, with Westminster Christian Academy carrying a 92% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Westminster Christian Academy enters at 28.7 points per game compared with 24.0 for Priory. Westminster Christian Academy also allows 21.5 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -4.2 for Westminster Christian Academy and +2.1 for Priory. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains medium.
01Westminster Christian Academy owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Priory has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 24.3-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.