PEMBROKE HILL WRITES THE FINAL WORD

Pembroke Hill finished the job, as Pembroke Hill and University Academy Charter with Ewing Marion Kauffman finished 41-8. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 37-15 final.

The actual margin was 33 points versus MOFO's 21.5-point projection. That produced a 11.5-point margin error, with score errors of 4.1 for Pembroke Hill and 7.5 for University Academy Charter with Ewing Marion Kauffman.

THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD PEMBROKE HILL

MOFO leans toward Pembroke Hill because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 32.8-point power-rating advantage and projects a 21.5-point margin, with Pembroke Hill carrying a 95% win probability.

The clearest separator is scoring: Pembroke Hill enters at 40.9 points per game compared with 25.4 for University Academy Charter with Ewing Marion Kauffman. Pembroke Hill also allows 13.5 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.

Strength of schedule checks in at -13.6 for Pembroke Hill and -7.7 for University Academy Charter with Ewing Marion Kauffman. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains medium.