TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | South Harrison | Trenton |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-3 | 0-4 |
| PF / GAME | 20.9 | 17.4 |
| PA / GAME | 27.5 | 33.9 |
| AVG MARGIN | -6.5 | -22.8 |
| SOS | +1.3 | +2.4 |
| POWER | -6.0 | -22.0 |
TRENTON WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Trenton finished the job, as South Harrison and Trenton finished 0-15. MOFO's pick of South Harrison missed; the model had projected a 29-21 final.
The actual margin was 15 points versus MOFO's 8.6-point projection. That produced a 23.6-point margin error, with score errors of 29.2 for South Harrison and 5.6 for Trenton.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD SOUTH HARRISON
MOFO leans toward South Harrison because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 15.9-point power-rating advantage and projects a 8.6-point margin, with South Harrison carrying a 76% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: South Harrison enters at 20.9 points per game compared with 17.4 for Trenton. South Harrison also allows 6.4 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +1.3 for South Harrison and +2.4 for Trenton. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains medium.
01South Harrison owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Trenton has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 15.9-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.