TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Cardinal Ritter | St. James Performance (VA) |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| PF / GAME | 32.5 | 27.6 |
| PA / GAME | 34.2 | 27.6 |
| AVG MARGIN | -3.5 | +0.0 |
| SOS | +5.6 | +0.0 |
| POWER | -1.5 | +0.0 |
ST. JAMES PERFORMANCE (VA) WRITES THE FINAL WORD
St. James Performance (VA) finished the job, as Cardinal Ritter and St. James Performance (VA) finished 6-50. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 30-31 final.
The actual margin was 44 points versus MOFO's 1.1-point projection. That produced a 42.9-point margin error, with score errors of 23.9 for Cardinal Ritter and 19.0 for St. James Performance (VA).
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD ST. JAMES PERFORMANCE (VA)
MOFO leans toward St. James Performance (VA) because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 1.5-point power-rating advantage and projects a 1.1-point margin, with St. James Performance (VA) carrying a 54% win probability.
Cardinal Ritter actually owns the stronger raw scoring average, so this pick is driven more by opponent adjustment and the complete power profile than offense alone. St. James Performance (VA) also allows 6.6 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +0.0 for St. James Performance (VA) and +5.6 for Cardinal Ritter. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low — no season data.
01Cardinal Ritter owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Cardinal Ritter has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 1.5-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.