TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | St. Pius X (Kansas City) | St. James |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 4-0 | 2-2 |
| PF / GAME | 37.0 | 18.0 |
| PA / GAME | 14.0 | 27.0 |
| AVG MARGIN | +29.2 | -13.8 |
| SOS | -4.9 | +4.0 |
| POWER | +27.5 | -12.4 |
ST. PIUS X (KANSAS CITY) WRITES THE FINAL WORD
St. Pius X (Kansas City) finished the job, as St. Pius X (Kansas City) and St. James finished 37-14. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 37-12 final.
The actual margin was 23 points versus MOFO's 25.0-point projection. That produced a 2.0-point margin error, with score errors of 0.5 for St. Pius X (Kansas City) and 2.5 for St. James.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD ST. PIUS X (KANSAS CITY)
MOFO leans toward St. Pius X (Kansas City) because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 39.9-point power-rating advantage and projects a 25.0-point margin, with St. Pius X (Kansas City) carrying a 95% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: St. Pius X (Kansas City) enters at 37.0 points per game compared with 18.0 for St. James. St. Pius X (Kansas City) also allows 13.0 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -4.9 for St. Pius X (Kansas City) and +4.0 for St. James. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains medium.
01St. Pius X (Kansas City) owns the stronger scoring profile.
02St. James has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 39.9-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.