TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Clark County | South Shelby |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| PF / GAME | 23.5 | 26.2 |
| PA / GAME | 35.7 | 20.5 |
| AVG MARGIN | -12.9 | +8.1 |
| SOS | -2.3 | -8.3 |
| POWER | -13.7 | +5.2 |
SOUTH SHELBY WRITES THE FINAL WORD
South Shelby finished the job, as Clark County and South Shelby finished 13-20. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 20-33 final.
The actual margin was 7 points versus MOFO's 12.6-point projection. That produced a 5.6-point margin error, with score errors of 7.2 for Clark County and 12.8 for South Shelby.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD SOUTH SHELBY
MOFO leans toward South Shelby because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 18.9-point power-rating advantage and projects a 12.6-point margin, with South Shelby carrying a 84% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: South Shelby enters at 26.2 points per game compared with 23.5 for Clark County. South Shelby also allows 15.2 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -8.3 for South Shelby and -2.3 for Clark County. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains medium.
01South Shelby owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Clark County has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 18.9-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.