TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Lift for Life Academy Charter | SLUH |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-2 | 3-1 |
| PF / GAME | 21.0 | 26.9 |
| PA / GAME | 20.0 | 15.7 |
| AVG MARGIN | +0.3 | +13.9 |
| SOS | +1.8 | -6.0 |
| POWER | +0.9 | +11.8 |
SLUH WRITES THE FINAL WORD
SLUH finished the job, as Lift for Life Academy Charter and SLUH finished 0-14. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 18-24 final.
The actual margin was 14 points versus MOFO's 6.8-point projection. That produced a 7.2-point margin error, with score errors of 17.5 for Lift for Life Academy Charter and 10.3 for SLUH.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD SLUH
MOFO leans toward SLUH because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 10.9-point power-rating advantage and projects a 6.8-point margin, with SLUH carrying a 71% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: SLUH enters at 26.9 points per game compared with 21.0 for Lift for Life Academy Charter. SLUH also allows 4.3 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -6.0 for SLUH and +1.8 for Lift for Life Academy Charter. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains medium.
01SLUH owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Lift for Life Academy Charter has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 10.9-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.