TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Miller Career Academy with Vashon, Sumner | Sikeston |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| PF / GAME | 19.5 | 23.5 |
| PA / GAME | 36.5 | 22.2 |
| AVG MARGIN | -19.0 | +0.5 |
| SOS | -0.3 | +3.5 |
| POWER | -19.1 | +1.7 |
SIKESTON WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Sikeston finished the job, as Miller Career Academy with Vashon, Sumner and Sikeston finished 0-50. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 19-32 final.
The actual margin was 50 points versus MOFO's 13.5-point projection. That produced a 36.5-point margin error, with score errors of 18.7 for Miller Career Academy with Vashon, Sumner and 17.8 for Sikeston.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD SIKESTON
MOFO leans toward Sikeston because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 20.8-point power-rating advantage and projects a 13.5-point margin, with Sikeston carrying a 86% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Sikeston enters at 23.5 points per game compared with 19.5 for Miller Career Academy with Vashon, Sumner. Sikeston also allows 14.3 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +3.5 for Sikeston and -0.3 for Miller Career Academy with Vashon, Sumner. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains medium.
01Sikeston owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Sikeston has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 20.8-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.