TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Ruskin | Raytown South |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| PF / GAME | 26.4 | 26.5 |
| PA / GAME | 34.4 | 19.4 |
| AVG MARGIN | -8.1 | +11.5 |
| SOS | -8.8 | -7.0 |
| POWER | -11.2 | +9.1 |
RAYTOWN SOUTH WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Raytown South finished the job, as Ruskin and Raytown South finished 12-18. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 21-33 final.
The actual margin was 6 points versus MOFO's 12.0-point projection. That produced a 6.0-point margin error, with score errors of 8.7 for Ruskin and 14.6 for Raytown South.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD RAYTOWN SOUTH
MOFO leans toward Raytown South because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 20.2-point power-rating advantage and projects a 12.0-point margin, with Raytown South carrying a 83% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Raytown South enters at 26.5 points per game compared with 26.4 for Ruskin. Raytown South also allows 15.0 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -7.0 for Raytown South and -8.8 for Ruskin. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains medium.
01Raytown South owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Raytown South has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 20.2-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.