TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Marceline | Putnam County |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| PF / GAME | 23.5 | 20.0 |
| PA / GAME | 25.0 | 25.2 |
| AVG MARGIN | -0.5 | -6.0 |
| SOS | -1.7 | +8.3 |
| POWER | -1.0 | -3.1 |
PUTNAM COUNTY WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Putnam County finished the job, as Marceline and Putnam County finished 6-42. MOFO's pick of Marceline missed; the model had projected a 25-22 final.
The actual margin was 36 points versus MOFO's 2.2-point projection. That produced a 38.2-point margin error, with score errors of 18.5 for Marceline and 19.7 for Putnam County.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD MARCELINE
MOFO leans toward Marceline because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 2.0-point power-rating advantage and projects a 2.2-point margin, with Marceline carrying a 57% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Marceline enters at 23.5 points per game compared with 20.0 for Putnam County. Marceline also allows 0.2 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -1.7 for Marceline and +8.3 for Putnam County. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01Marceline owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Putnam County has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 2.0-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.