TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | King City | Princeton |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| PF / GAME | 39.5 | 35.0 |
| PA / GAME | 34.7 | 24.9 |
| AVG MARGIN | +5.7 | +8.1 |
| SOS | -5.8 | +3.9 |
| POWER | +3.7 | +9.5 |
PRINCETON WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Princeton finished the job, as King City and Princeton finished 0-40. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 32-36 final.
The actual margin was 40 points versus MOFO's 4.0-point projection. That produced a 36.0-point margin error, with score errors of 31.5 for King City and 4.5 for Princeton.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD PRINCETON
MOFO leans toward Princeton because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 5.8-point power-rating advantage and projects a 4.0-point margin, with Princeton carrying a 63% win probability.
King City actually owns the stronger raw scoring average, so this pick is driven more by opponent adjustment and the complete power profile than offense alone. Princeton also allows 9.8 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +3.9 for Princeton and -5.8 for King City. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains medium.
01King City owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Princeton has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 5.8-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.