TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Malden | Portageville |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| PF / GAME | 18.9 | 42.5 |
| PA / GAME | 33.5 | 25.5 |
| AVG MARGIN | -12.4 | +19.5 |
| SOS | -1.7 | -4.3 |
| POWER | -13.0 | +18.0 |
PORTAGEVILLE WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Portageville finished the job, as Malden and Portageville finished 14-52. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 19-41 final.
The actual margin was 38 points versus MOFO's 22.4-point projection. That produced a 15.6-point margin error, with score errors of 4.9 for Malden and 10.7 for Portageville.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD PORTAGEVILLE
MOFO leans toward Portageville because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 31.0-point power-rating advantage and projects a 22.4-point margin, with Portageville carrying a 95% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Portageville enters at 42.5 points per game compared with 18.9 for Malden. Portageville also allows 8.0 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -4.3 for Portageville and -1.7 for Malden. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains medium.
01Portageville owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Malden has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 31.0-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.