TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Crest Ridge with Chilhowee | Pleasant Hope with Marion C. Early, Halfway |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-3 | 0-4 |
| PF / GAME | 20.7 | 15.9 |
| PA / GAME | 30.5 | 32.5 |
| AVG MARGIN | -14.9 | -22.3 |
| SOS | +2.1 | -6.5 |
| POWER | -14.1 | -24.5 |
CREST RIDGE WITH CHILHOWEE WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Crest Ridge with Chilhowee finished the job, as Crest Ridge with Chilhowee and Pleasant Hope with Marion C. Early, Halfway finished 21-0. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 28-22 final.
The actual margin was 21 points versus MOFO's 6.2-point projection. That produced a 14.8-point margin error, with score errors of 7.0 for Crest Ridge with Chilhowee and 21.8 for Pleasant Hope with Marion C. Early, Halfway.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD CREST RIDGE WITH CHILHOWEE
MOFO leans toward Crest Ridge with Chilhowee because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 10.4-point power-rating advantage and projects a 6.2-point margin, with Crest Ridge with Chilhowee carrying a 69% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Crest Ridge with Chilhowee enters at 20.7 points per game compared with 15.9 for Pleasant Hope with Marion C. Early, Halfway. Crest Ridge with Chilhowee also allows 2.0 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +2.1 for Crest Ridge with Chilhowee and -6.5 for Pleasant Hope with Marion C. Early, Halfway. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains medium.
01Crest Ridge with Chilhowee owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Crest Ridge with Chilhowee has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 10.4-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.